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ABI Research predicts 35 million netbooks to be shipped in 2009


Samsung Q1 was one of the first UMPC's.

A confluence of social and technological factors has created a kind of “perfect storm” that will lead to a market explosion for netbooks over the next few years, predicts ABI Research. The firm forecasts worldwide shipments of nearly 35 million this year, rising to an estimated 139 million in 2013.

Practice director Kevin Burden describes this evolution:

"PDA’s began our reliance on instant accessible data while traveling. When PDA functionality converged with cellular voice, smartphones became the new darling of mobile professional technology that many expected to evolve into the hub for all data and communication needs for travelling professionals. Today, with a better understanding for what a smartphone is, is not, and may never be, along with a reality check on the usefulness of Ultra Mobile PCs, the market remains open for new device types."

Smartphones did a lot to raise our comfort level with mobile technology as well our expectations for how connected we could be and how accessible information and data should be while on the road. Enter the netbook with its light-weight, medium-sized form factor and low-cost processors leading to moderate overall price points may finally have “right-sized” mobile technology for productive travels.

While the advent of low-cost, power stingy x86 and ARM processors were the technical keys to netbooks, Burden argues that industry and consumer expectations also needed to evolve before netbooks would meet market acceptance.

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